**Conclusion:**
"The claim is likely based on a genuine leak of a DIA assessment, as reported by CNN and picked up by BBC News and others, but its reliability is questionable due to the “low confidence” rating, reliance on anonymous sources, and conflicting intelligence from Israel. The story’s prominence on X suggests it’s being amplified, but without the original document or broader corroboration, it should be treated as inconclusive. The source is primarily CNN’s reporting of the DIA leak, filtered through secondary outlets like BBC News and Yahoo News, with no direct access to the intell